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TRAP-18 (Terrorist Radicalization Assessment Protocol)

Definition

An 18-indicator threat assessment framework developed by Meloy and colleagues, comprising 8 proximal warning behaviours (pathway, fixation, identification, novel aggression, energy burst, leakage, last-resort thinking, direct threat) and 10 distal background characteristics; validated retrospectively across jihadist, far-right, and incel lone-actor cases.

Developer
Meloy and colleagues
Structure
8 proximal warning behaviours, 10 distal characteristics
Validation base
Jihadist, far-right, and incel lone-actor cases
Type
Threat assessment framework

Common questions

Why does TRAP-18 cover such different ideological categories in one framework?+

The warning behaviours it tracks, such as fixation or a novel escalation in aggression, tend to appear regardless of the specific ideology driving a person, so the same structured assessment applies whether the case is jihadist, far-right, or incel-motivated.

How is TRAP-18 typically used by a threat assessment team?+

An analyst scores the available information about a subject against the 18 indicators to structure a case discussion and prioritise intervention or monitoring resources, rather than to generate a single numeric risk score.

Related terms

BNS 2023 § 113
The Bharatiya Nyaya Sanhita 2023 terrorist act provision (replacing UAPA § 15 as the primary substantive offence for many terrorism prosecutions); does...
BTAC (Behavioral Threat Assessment Center)
The FBI unit that provides training, research, and case consultation on targeted violence threat assessment; operational successor to the Behavioral Threat Assessment...
Channel Programme
The UK's statutory civil intervention pathway for individuals assessed as vulnerable to radicalisation; operated through multi-agency Channel panels, placed on statutory footing...
ERPO (Extreme Risk Protection Order)
A US civil-law mechanism (enacted in 21 states as of 2025) allowing courts to temporarily remove firearms from persons assessed as an...
Leakage
Intentional or unintentional communication of intent to commit violence to a third party. One of TRAP-18's eight proximal warning behaviours and the...
Pathway-to-Violence Model
A five-stage sequential model (grievance, ideation, research and planning, probing and preparation, attack) developed by Calhoun and Weston and elaborated by the...
WAVR-21
Workplace Assessment of Violence Risk, 21-factor version. A structured threat-assessment tool used in occupational and institutional settings that integrates language analysis with...

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