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TRAP-18 (Terrorist Radicalisation Assessment Protocol)

Definition

18-indicator structured professional judgement instrument by Reid Meloy, Roshdi, Guldimann and Hoffmann (2014). Distinguishes 8 proximal warning behaviours (leakage, pathway, fixation, novel aggression, energy burst, identification, last resort, direct threat) from 10 distal characteristics. Validated retrospectively against 73 lone actors across ideological categories.

Authors
Meloy, Roshdi, Guldimann and Hoffmann, 2014
Structure
8 proximal warning behaviours, 10 distal characteristics
Type
Structured professional judgement instrument
Validation
Retrospective study of 73 lone actors across ideologies

Common questions

What is the difference between the proximal and distal indicators in TRAP-18?+

Proximal warning behaviours, such as leakage or a last-resort mindset, are acute and time-sensitive signs that risk is escalating soon, while distal characteristics are longer-standing background traits that establish context but do not by themselves signal imminent action.

Is TRAP-18 meant to predict who will become a lone-actor attacker?+

No. It is a structured professional judgement tool for assessing and managing risk in a known person of concern, not a predictive checklist for identifying future attackers from a general population.

Related terms

BNS § 113 and UAPA
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Channel Programme (UK)
The referral and multi-agency assessment pathway within UK Prevent. Any public-sector professional can refer an individual; a Channel panel assesses vulnerability and...
Disengagement vs Deradicalisation
Disengagement: ceasing to participate in extremist activity without necessarily changing underlying beliefs. Deradicalisation: changing the beliefs and identity constructs that motivated extremism....
Leakage
Intentional or unintentional communication of intent to commit violence to a third party. One of TRAP-18's eight proximal warning behaviours and the...
McCauley-Moskalenko Two-Pyramid Model
Conceptual framework (Friction, 2011) distinguishing the opinion pyramid (distribution of extreme views) from the action pyramid (distribution of extremist behaviour). The two...
VERA-2R (Violent Extremism Risk Assessment)
Structured professional judgement instrument by Elaine Pressman and John Flockton (2010, revised) for known extremist individuals in contact with the justice or...

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