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Prospective Validation

Definition

Evaluation using outcomes not already known when predictions are made.

Related terms

Base Rate
The prior probability of an event or proposition before specific evidence is considered. In forensic inference, the base rate is the probability...
Hindsight Bias
The tendency to view a past outcome as having been more predictable than it was, because the outcome is now known. In...
Investigative Hypothesis
A proposed explanation or lead that remains open to testing and revision.

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