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ENFSI Evaluative Reporting Framework

Definition

The ENFSI Guideline for Evaluative Reporting in Forensic Science (2015), which specifies that forensic identification opinions should be expressed as likelihood ratios or on a verbal scale from very strong support to weak support. Adopted by UK FSR, Dutch NFI, Swedish NFC, and other ENFSI member laboratories.

Document
ENFSI Guideline for Evaluative Reporting in Forensic Science
Year
2015
Reporting format
Likelihood ratio or a verbal scale, very strong to weak support
Adopting bodies
UK FSR, Dutch NFI, Swedish NFC, other ENFSI members

Common questions

Why express findings as support for a hypothesis rather than a probability of guilt?+

The framework restricts the examiner to weighing the evidence under two competing propositions, which keeps the expert within their forensic-science competence and leaves the ultimate question of guilt, which combines all trial evidence, to the court.

What happens when a laboratory cannot calculate a numerical likelihood ratio?+

The framework allows a verbal-scale opinion anchored to qualitative reasoning about the same two-hypothesis structure, used when the underlying data for a numerical LR is not available, though it is considered a weaker basis than a validated statistical model.

Related terms

2009 NAS Report
The National Academy of Sciences report Strengthening Forensic Science in the United States, which found that fingerprint individualization claims lacked empirical population-frequency...
Categorical Identification
The historical fingerprint testimony model in which the examiner declares that the latent print originated from the named person to the exclusion...
FRStat
The fingerprint statistical scoring model developed by the FBI Laboratory and Iowa State University (Professor Alicia Carriquiry). Takes ACE-V comparison documentation as...
Likelihood Ratio (LR)
The ratio of two conditional probabilities: the probability of the observed evidence given the prosecution's hypothesis (same source), divided by the probability...
NIST ELFT-EFS (2012)
The NIST Evaluation of Latent Fingerprint Technologies: Extended Feature Sets, a large-scale evaluation of both automated AFIS algorithms and human examiner performance....
Population Frequency Database
The reference dataset from which the denominator of a fingerprint likelihood ratio is estimated: the frequency with which a given configuration of...
R V. T (2010)
UK Court of Appeal decision on footwear evidence likelihood ratios that expressed caution about numerical LR presentation where the underlying database was...
Ulery Et Al. 2011
The FBI black-box study that tested 169 fingerprint examiners on 744 latent-exemplar pairs, finding a false-positive rate of 0.1%. The study empirically...
Verbal Scale
The ENFSI translation of numerical likelihood ratios into courtroom language: very strong support (LR over 10,000), strong support (LR 1,000-10,000), moderate support...

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