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Undetermined Cause

Definition

The correct fire cause classification when a fire investigator cannot identify a specific accidental cause but also has no positive physical evidence of incendiary cause; the classification required by NFPA 921 when the negative-corpus argument would otherwise be invoked.

Standard
NFPA 921
Applies when
No accidental cause identified and no positive incendiary evidence
Purpose
Prevents cause-by-elimination (negative corpus) reasoning
Contrast
Distinct from a confirmed accidental or incendiary finding

Common questions

Why can't an investigator just conclude arson by elimination of other causes?+

NFPA 921 rejects negative corpus reasoning, which is calling a fire incendiary solely because no accidental cause was found, since that inference is not supported by positive physical evidence and has led to wrongful convictions when later overturned.

Is undetermined cause a sign the investigation was inadequate?+

No, it is presented in NFPA 921 as the scientifically correct conclusion whenever the physical evidence genuinely does not support a specific cause, which can happen even after a thorough and competent examination.

Related terms

Cal Fire Law Enforcement and Investigations Division
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Heel of a Fire
The narrow, closed end of a wind-driven wildfire's elliptical burn perimeter, closest to the ignition point; the investigator works from the outer...
Ignition-Point Clustering Analysis
A spatial statistical analysis applied to a series of suspected wildfire arson incidents, examining whether the geographic distribution of identified ignition points...
Multiple Origin Areas
Two or more separate, unconnected zones of fire origin in a structure, each with independent burning evidence; the strongest physical indicator of...
Negative-Corpus Argument
An invalid standalone conclusion in fire investigation that a fire was incendiary because no accidental cause was identified; rejected by NFPA 921...
Pour Pattern
A burn-through pattern in floor material or seat fabric produced by a liquid accelerant poured on the surface before ignition; produces a...
Time-of-Day Analysis
A statistical tool in wildfire arson investigation that compares the time-of-report distribution for suspected arson fires against confirmed accidental fires in the...
Trailer Evidence
A physical pathway of combustible material laid between two ignition areas in a structure arson to allow a single ignition act to...

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