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Uncertainty Interval

Definition

A reported interval whose interpretation depends on its stated construction and target. An interval must identify its target and how its endpoints were constructed. Measurement variation, model uncertainty and assumed histories are different sources of uncertainty.

Context
Reporting uncertainty

For example, a report can distinguish a sensitivity span from a calibrated statistical interval rather than assigning the same percentage label to both.

A ninety-five-percent label requires a suitable statistical interpretation. A plausible range should not be presented as calibrated confidence merely to appear precise.

Related terms

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Association Uncertainty
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Bias
Bias is a systematic tendency for an estimate or measurement to depart from its target under specified conditions. It differs from random...
Colonisation Interval
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Entomotoxicology
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Maggot-Mass Thermogenesis
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Minimum PMI (PMImin)
A conditional lower bound on elapsed time after death; on a calendar it supports a latest possible earlier event under stated assumptions....
Sensitivity Analysis
Assessment of output changes under justified changes in model inputs or assumptions. Sensitivity analysis examines how a result changes when specified inputs...
Thermal Bias
Systematic distortion from an inappropriate temperature input or model; its direction depends on conditions. Within a suitable increasing-rate model, a lower assumed...
Variability
Differences among biological observations or outcomes under stated conditions, distinct from systematic bias. Individuals and outcomes can differ even under similar conditions....

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