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Stochastic Effects

Definition

Random sampling errors arising when few template molecules are present in a PCR reaction. Manifest as allele drop-out, allele drop-in, elevated stutter and peak-height imbalance.

Cause
Few template molecules present in a PCR reaction
Manifestations
Allele drop-out, allele drop-in, elevated stutter, peak-height imbalance
Context
Touch DNA, hair, bone, teeth and challenging substrates

Common questions

Why does elevated stutter become a bigger interpretive problem in low-template samples?+

Stutter peaks are normally a small, predictable fraction of the parent allele's height, but at low template levels their relative height can rise enough to be mistaken for a true minor contributor allele, complicating mixture interpretation.

How do forensic laboratories mitigate stochastic effects when working with degraded or trace samples?+

Common approaches include increasing PCR cycle number cautiously, running replicate amplifications and applying a consensus or composite profile, and using probabilistic genotyping software that explicitly models dropout and drop-in probabilities rather than a simple presence or absence call.

Related terms

Allele Drop-in
Appearance of a low-level allele in a PCR product from stochastic amplification of a contaminant molecule. More common in low-template reactions where...
Allele Drop-Out
Failure of one allele at a heterozygous locus to amplify in a low-template PCR reaction, producing an apparent homozygote. Increases dramatically below...
EDTA Decalcification
Demineralisation of bone powder using 0.5 M EDTA at pH 8.0, which chelates calcium from hydroxyapatite and releases DNA from the mineral...
Petrous Bone
The petrous portion of the temporal bone, the densest bone in the human skull. Its dense hydroxyapatite matrix protects enclosed DNA from...
Secondary Transfer
The movement of a glass fragment from a primary surface (which contacted the broken glass) to a secondary surface (which contacted the...
Touch DNA
Minute quantities of epithelial cells transferred by skin contact with a surface, without leaving a visible stain. Collected by swabbing contact points...

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