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Distance-Decay Function

Definition

The empirical pattern that offence frequency declines with distance from the offender's anchor point, after a small zone of avoidance close to home.

Field
Geographical profiling
Pattern
Offence frequency declines with distance from anchor point
Exception near home
Small zone of avoidance close to the anchor
Used in
Probability-surface profiling models

Common questions

Why would an offender avoid committing crimes right next to their own home?+

Proximity to home raises the risk of being recognised by neighbours or acquaintances, so many offenders show a buffer zone of reduced activity immediately around the anchor point even though risk otherwise falls with distance.

How is a distance-decay function actually used in a live investigation?+

Analysts fit the function to the spatial pattern of a linked offence series and combine it with other geographic data to generate a probability surface highlighting the areas most likely to contain the offender's anchor point.

Related terms

Anchor Point
The offender's spatial base of operations, most often the home, sometimes the workplace or a partner's address. The point geographical profiling is...
Buffer Zone
The area immediately around an offender's anchor point where offence probability is suppressed because the offender avoids committing crimes near recognisable locations...
Hit-Rate
Performance metric for a geoprofile: the percentage of the search area that has to be examined before the anchor is found, lower...
Jeopardy Surface
The probability map output of geographic profiling, rendered as a colour-coded topographic display where high-probability zones for the anchor point appear in...
Routine Activity Theory
A criminological framework developed by Cohen and Felson (1979) that explains property crime as the product of three converging elements: a motivated...

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