What the trend data looks like as actual case requisitions on a Monday morning.
A composite Monday at a hypothetical Maharashtra state FSL toxicology section. The previous week's requisition register lists 14 cases. Read the case-mix against the patterns above.
Five cases from Yavatmal and Wardha districts, all male, ages 24 to 41, viscera in saturated saline, suspected pesticide. The OP screen on GC-FPD picks up monocrotophos in three and chlorpyrifos in two. Cholinesterase activity in preserved blood is depressed consistently with the OP identification. Two of the five had visible green residue on the lips and palms at the scene memo. These five are the Vidarbha cotton-belt signal in textbook form.
Three cases from urban Mumbai (two from Sion ER, one from KEM), women aged 19, 22 and 27. Gastric lavage samples, blood and urine. LC-MS/MS picks up alprazolam metabolites in two, paracetamol at hepatotoxic concentration in the third. None had visible pesticide signs. These are the urban OTC and Schedule H1 signal.
One case from rural Nashik, a 67 year old man, accidental polypharmacy. The clinical record shows tramadol, paracetamol and amitriptyline. Post-mortem viscera shows therapeutic-range concentrations for all three. The interpretation is accidental, with a note on serotonergic and anticholinergic combination toxicity.
Two cases from a single village in Beed, both male, ages 38 and 42, on the same night. Suspected hooch. Blood methanol on headspace GC at 1.2 g/L and 0.9 g/L. Anion-gap acidosis on the clinical biochemistry. Local police record three more deaths from the same village in the next 24 hours; the cluster is escalated to the state Health Department.
One case from Pune airport security, a transit passenger from Delhi, found unresponsive at the gate. Urine and blood positive for alprazolam. The IO has flagged a possible DFC; CCTV is being pulled separately.
Two cases from Ahmednagar, a married couple, ages 31 and 29, suicide pact. Viscera and stomach contents show aluminium phosphide; the scene memo lists a Celphos tin. Phosphine paper test positive on stomach contents.
The bench director reads the week as: five OP, three urban sedative or paracetamol, one polypharmacy, two methanol cluster, one airport alprazolam DFC, two aluminium phosphide. Against ADSI 2022 priors, this is roughly the expected case-mix for a Maharashtra FSL in a non-outbreak week. The methanol cluster is the anomaly that triggers an outside-the-routine response.