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Population assignment

Definition

A genetic method that compares a specimen's microsatellite or SNP profile to reference databases of known-origin individuals, assigning the specimen to the population it most probably belongs to. Used for ivory, rhino horn, and traded timber provenance.

Primary markers
Microsatellites and SNP profiles
Common applications
Ivory, rhino horn, and timber provenance in wildlife crime
Method type
Statistical comparison against reference databases

Common questions

What does population assignment tell you about a specimen?+

Population assignment tells you which geographic population a specimen most likely came from. Forensic scientists use genetic markers like microsatellites or SNPs to compare the specimen's profile against reference databases of known-origin materials, then calculate which population it matches best. It's particularly useful for wildlife products like ivory and rhino horn.

How does the statistical comparison work?+

The method compares your specimen's genetic or isotope profile to multiple reference populations and calculates the likelihood it originated from each one. The population with the highest likelihood becomes the assignment. This approach works because populations have distinct genetic signatures that reflect their geographic isolation and evolutionary history.

What types of evidence can population assignment use?+

The method works with genetic data (microsatellites and SNP profiles) as well as isotope profiles. Both types create distinctive signatures tied to a specimen's origin. This makes it flexible enough to handle ivory, rhino horn, timber, and other traded wildlife products where knowing geographic source matters for law enforcement.

Related terms

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ICP-MS
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Isoscape
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Lines of arrested growth (LAGs)
Alternating dense and loose concentric rings in bone cortex visible in histological cross-section, analogous to tree rings. Each LAG marks a period...
Radiocarbon dating (C-14)
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Skeletochronology
Age estimation from growth rings (lines of arrested growth, LAGs) in bone cross-sections. Reliable in reptiles and fish; less so in mammals....
Stable isotope analysis
Measurement of the ratios of stable isotopes (typically strontium-87/86, oxygen-18/16, carbon-13/12) in tissue. These ratios reflect local geology, hydrology, and diet, providing...
Stable isotope ratio
The ratio of a heavy to a light stable (non-radioactive) isotope of an element, expressed as delta (delta) in per-mil notation relative...
Swietenia
The mahogany genus (S. macrophylla, S. mahagoni, S. humilis), listed on CITES Appendix II. The subject of well-developed cpSSR population genetic reference...
Tusk weight-age curve
A species- and sex-specific regression of tusk mass against age, derived from known-age wild elephant records. Allows investigators to estimate the age...

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