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Log-LR (Log Likelihood Ratio)

Definition

The natural or base-10 logarithm of the LR. Log-LRs are additive for independent evidence types, making them convenient for combining across disciplines. Positive log-LR supports Hp; negative supports Hd. Speaker comparison systems typically output log-LR scores directly.

Definition
Natural or base-10 logarithm of the LR
Property
Additive across independent evidence types
Positive value
Supports Hp
Negative value
Supports Hd
Common output of
Speaker comparison systems

Common questions

Why is the additive property of log-LR useful in casework?+

It lets an analyst combine the weight of evidence from several independent sources by simple addition, rather than having to multiply raw likelihood ratio values together.

Why do speaker comparison systems typically report log-LR instead of a raw LR?+

Raw LR values can span many orders of magnitude, and expressing the result on a log scale compresses that range into a more manageable, comparable figure.

Related terms

Defence Proposition (Hd)
The alternative proposition, typically asserting that someone else is the source (e.g., 'the crime-scene DNA came from an unknown, unrelated person'). It...
Kernel Density Estimate (KDE)
A non-parametric smooth probability density function fitted to a set of measurements by placing a kernel (usually Gaussian) over each data point...
Likelihood Ratio (LR)
A ratio comparing the probability of findings under one stated proposition with their probability under another, conditional on relevant information. Its direction...
Prosecution Proposition (Hp)
The proposition advanced by the prosecution, typically asserting that the defendant is the source of the questioned material (e.g., 'the crime-scene DNA...
Random Match Probability (RMP)
The probability that a randomly chosen unrelated person from the relevant population would match the evidence profile by chance. A very small...

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