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Hot-Spots Policing

Definition

A tactic that concentrates patrol resources on small high-crime micro-locations (street segments, addresses, or intersections). Supported by consistent evidence from randomised controlled trials in the United States, United Kingdom, and Australia. Effectiveness depends on targeting precision and officer behaviour at the hot spot.

Target unit
Street segments, addresses or intersections
Evidence base
Randomised controlled trials in the US, UK and Australia
Key success factor
Targeting precision and officer behaviour at the location
Category
Place-based policing tactic

Common questions

Does hot-spots policing just push crime to nearby streets?+

The bulk of the trial evidence finds a modest diffusion of benefit to surrounding blocks rather than displacement, though results vary by study and by how aggressively the tactic is implemented at the targeted location.

What officer behaviour matters most once a hot spot is targeted?+

Trials that pair hot-spot targeting with legitimacy-focused, problem-solving engagement tend to outperform those relying mainly on stops and arrests, suggesting the presence and manner of patrol matter as much as its location.

How does hot-spots policing differ from predictive policing?+

Hot-spots policing typically targets locations identified from historical, verified crime concentration data, while predictive policing uses forecasting algorithms to project future risk, a distinction that matters for both effectiveness and bias concerns.

Related terms

Community Policing
A policing model that builds sustained partnerships between officers and residents through foot patrols, neighbourhood liaison, and joint problem identification. Emphasises prevention...
Discretion
The latitude police officers exercise in deciding whether and how to act. Studies by James Q. Wilson showed that street-level discretion shapes...
Police Legitimacy
The public belief that police authority is rightful and deserving of voluntary compliance. Distinguished from compliance secured through fear of sanctions. Legitimacy...
Problem-Oriented Policing
A model developed by Herman Goldstein in which police identify and address the specific conditions generating recurring crime or disorder, using the...
Procedural Justice
The perceived fairness of how police make decisions and exercise authority. Four components: voice (people feel heard), neutrality (consistent, unbiased decisions), respectful...

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