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Recidivism

Definition

The tendency of a person who has been convicted of a crime to reoffend. Measured differently across jurisdictions: by reconviction, by reincarceration, or by re-arrest within a defined follow-up period. Recidivism rates are the primary outcome measure for evaluating correctional programmes.

Definition
Tendency of a convicted person to reoffend
Measures used
Reconviction, reincarceration, or re-arrest
Follow-up window
Defined period set by the study or agency
Primary use
Outcome measure for correctional programme evaluation

Common questions

Why do recidivism rates vary so much between countries and studies?+

Different jurisdictions measure recidivism using different events, such as a new arrest, a new conviction, or a return to custody, and use different follow-up periods, so rates from one study are rarely comparable to another without matching definitions.

Does a low recidivism rate always mean a programme is effective?+

Not necessarily. Selection effects matter: a programme that only accepts lower-risk participants will show a lower recidivism rate regardless of its actual impact, so rigorous evaluations compare against a matched or randomised control group.

What is the difference between recidivism and desistance?+

Recidivism measures a discrete reoffending event within a follow-up window, while desistance describes the broader, often gradual process of an individual stopping offending over time, which recidivism statistics alone do not fully capture.

Related terms

Base Rate
The prior probability of an event or proposition before specific evidence is considered. In forensic inference, the base rate is the probability...
Collateral Consequences
The legal and social penalties that attach to a criminal conviction beyond the sentence itself, including loss of voting rights, ineligibility for...
Comparison Group
A matched group that did not receive a programme or sentence, used to isolate that programme's effect on reoffending from other causes...
Criminology
The scientific study of crime, its causes and distribution across populations, the operation of criminal justice institutions, and strategies for prevention and...
Dark Figure of Crime
The gap between the actual volume of crime and the amount recorded in official statistics. Crimes go unrecorded when victims do not...
Desistance
The process by which an individual stops offending, usually gradual rather than a single event, and typically tied to changes in routine,...
Habitual Offender Legislation
Statutes that impose registration, restriction or an enhanced sentence on a person with a defined number of prior qualifying convictions, including three-strikes...
Incapacitation
The justification for imprisonment that focuses on preventing crime during the sentence by removing the offender from society, regardless of whether their...
Justice Reinvestment
A policy strategy that proposes redirecting funds spent on incarceration toward community-based services, education, mental health treatment, and substance use programmes in...
Mandatory Minimum Sentence
A legislatively fixed minimum period of imprisonment that a judge must impose upon conviction for specified offences, regardless of individual circumstances. Mandatory...
Mass Incarceration
The large-scale increase in the use of imprisonment, producing incarceration rates far above historical and international norms. Most closely associated with the...
Parole
Conditional early release from a custodial sentence after a portion has been served. The released person remains under supervision and subject to...

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